The inheritance is not just a simple chain. New things developed, were based on old and proven stuff, sometimes mixed with ideas taken from somewhere else⦠Every now and then something completely new gets invented⦠Itās more tangled.
But I like Lemmy. Itās open, accessible, owned by the people and unites people, the way it works. In that regard it feels like a sucessor of what was before the forums in the 2000s.
Forums also have been used to fragment communities. Sometimes you had to sign up everywhere to join in or even read. And there wasnāt one ātheā place.
Discord is especially bad. Everything happens behind closed doors. You miss out on everything that doesnāt accidentally happen where youāre already subscribed to. And everybody has their small little kingdom and you have to submit to them. It doesnāt unite people and it isnāt democratic at all. I donāt like it.
Reddit is kinda āmehā. It is/was āthe placeā to discuss things. But itās owned by a single large entity whose intentions arenāt well aligned with mine. I donāt consider them harmful like the design decisions for Discord, but I donāt participate anymore, either.
I think the fediverse has some technical issues with scaling. But that can be overcome. Other than that, itās superior to most things out there today.
Again, thatās simply false. Around the world, the taxpayer ends up paying the major portion of the cost needed to dealing with that. Look it up.
And a mix of nuclear and renewables isnāt that smart. These two donāt complement each other. Nuclear doesnāt ābalance outā the fluctuations of renewable by pushing the rods more in or pulling them out. Look at the diagrams. Nuclear produces a constant amount of energy, day and night. It is theoretically possible, but practically not feasible to cycle this too much. They do not complement each other. Youād need almost the same energy storage facilities youād need without nuclear being in the mix. Itās a waste. And I donāt know who listened to too much propaganda. If the studies and numbers tell a different story, maybe reflect a bit on your previous knowledge. Iāve also grown up learning nuclear is a cheap way of generating energy and it produces less CO2. But technology has made advancements and the first thing just isnāt true (anymore).
And youāre generating more cost for future generations. Dealing with the waste. Dismantling those reactors is a huge ordeal. You end up with vast amounts of concrete that is expensive to treat. That isnāt an investment, thatās a liability. On the other hand, a wind farm is an investment.
(Sorry. I donāt want to argue with you specifically. Iām more annoyed by politics for making the wrong decisions. And getting us to in the situation where we now burn all that coal that we wanted to get away from. This was the original subject of this discussion anyways. Weāre now in that situation and we canāt change the past. But we can make the right decisions for the future, now. And I expect politicians to know how much for example 100 billions of money is. And they should do scientific studies with the current state of knowledge and then do the calculation and do whatās best.)
Iām also not against nuclear per se. My problem is, handling the radioactive stuff is what makes it very expensive and there is no way around that at this point. For example I see many issues storing that waste. It is true that these geological structures have been there for millions of years. But once you drill into them, this isnāt the case any more. We have massive problems finding a final storage repository, and for several reasons. Weāve tried for decades. My prediction is that itāll be massively expensive to look after these things in the tousands of years to come. At some point there will be an issue, water will get in and more billions of money will be needed to clean that up. This will not be payed for by the people who used that electricity.
It makes me a bit angry that nuclear is massively subsidised. They get subsidised when building plants, they didnāt have to have the money for dismantlement ready. I bet this will be some more 100 billions for the german taxpayer. They probably only pay a fraction of the needed research. If theyāre basically only paying for operation, I can tell, why this looks feasable for people and nobody believes the actual numbers.
And itās a bridge technology anyways. Thereās no way around that. Once the real deal is around, you need to accept that and slowly phase it out.
I believe in the studies, the state of the art in research and actual numbers. Without factoring the subsidies I just talked about in, we talked about the study in the USA where nuclear power was 5 times as expensive to generate. And those are real electricity prices. The subsidies and unaccounted cost of waste storage that become just extra profit for those companies, get on top.
So why do you want to pay extra for electricity? Why do you want to create more and more difficult to solve problems? Why invest even more money in such a dying technology? I mean, Iām okay if we donāt switch off those existing plants before theyāre due. Theyāre here and we may as well use them to cut down CO2. But please. If science tells you it is expensive and difficult by some huge factor. Donāt throw more billions and billions at yesterdays technology and research in blind hope that youāll be able to bridge that gap somehow. Itās not competetive as of today. And youāll need more and more money to stay in business in the future.
I donāt want to pay that with my taxes. And we need that money for the energy transition. To address some of the issues you mentioned. Especially like you said for the last few percent getting close to 100% renewable. That will also be expensive. And now we need money to make changes to the energy grid and afford more offshore wind for example. And politics to really think hard and have the right incentives for people and companies in place. The off-shore wind park will generate energy day and night for decades to come once you build it. The energy grid and energy storage facilities will be an investment. Please donāt waste all the money because I want someone to build a carbon-neutral helicopter to fly to these off-shore windmills and service them.
There had been a time where your nuclear was the right choice. Now itās a money-losing business for the people. And renewable would be an investment into their future. The actual numbers tell the same story. So Iām more against stupid and expensive choices, than against nuclear specifically.
Is the crack under your doors really that big? I genuinely donāt know so please tell me. Where I live itās tiny. You wouldnāt be able to get your pinkie underneath the door. Maybe a piece of cardboard. But Iāve tried and that door stop from the dollar store is really in there and wonāt budge.
Iām sorry. If OPās doors are also built like this, they might have to find another solution.
Sleep, eat, sleep, watch/hear/read something, talk to random people (preferably other stranded people), visit the smoking lounge, walk though all the stores, maybe buy a magazine.
And all the people recommending mobile games⦠Iāve wasted hours on end playing tower defense games, bridge builder or something like that. Get up inbetween and mix things up. Everything will get boring in that situation.
Iām sorry. Letās end the argument here. We wonāt agree. Some of your points are valid, most of them are plainly wrong or donāt contribute.
No country has the most of its energy from renewables
Yes, this page shows there are currently 4 countries above your arbitrary 80% demonstrating exactly that.
itās not proven
Yes. See above.
a prototype
Weāve already established countries like Germany with close to 50% renewable arenāt a prototype. Iāve given countless other examples.
after 30 years of abandon, the construction is hard and more expensive
then donāt do it.
Nuclear already dealt with these problems.
Youāre sure nuclear is without issues nowadays?
there isnāt wind and sun everywhere
Thatās why we shouldnāt only do 100% of those. Iāve explained several alternatives and you can store and transport energy across the continent.
silicium you need for the batteries and solar panels
We donāt focus on batteries and solar. We need a diverse mix. In fact we donāt need batteries at all, we need energy storage. But this doesnāt have to be batteries. Same applies to solar. Iām living a bit far north and it gets rainy here sometimes. Maybe just take another kind of energy.
Btw. where do you get your uranium 235? Is that a different argument?
How do you deal with balancing the load?
Well, how do you do it? Nuclear also is generating a relatively constant amount of energy. Day and night, 24/7. Nuclear also doesnāt balance the load. Same argument applies here.
Nobody says it has to be 100% this or that by tomorrow. It needs to be a diverse strategy. It needs to factor in individual geographical facts. If weāre only at 70% renewable tomorrow itās better than 20%. It is a process. We donāt have to skip everything and jump to 100% immediately. Let those natural gas plants run a bit and balance out things, as they do today. Just put in the effort. Once there are cheaper alternatives, use them and donāt cling to old technology just for the sake of it.
is there any solar or wind farm of more than 30 years
Letās scrap solar for the sake of this discussion. Letās say material science is completely wrong and they vastly over-exaggerated lifespan of solar panels. Solar is a small fraction of the equation. Tell me what in a wind turbine we donāt understand. Windmills have been around for centuries. As have been generators. Iām not looking that up but I bet we had wind farms in the 70s. Water power has been used to generate electricity for more than a century. It works at scale for some time now. Geothermal works with steam and turbines. Theyāre also in your nuclear plant. Can you explain all this away?
and the last models that are so efficient are less than 10 years old
As is everything that made some progress. My computer is faster and better in most aspects than the one I had a decade ago.
The experience also shows that all countries that went for renewables ended up using more fossile energy btw. Spain and Germany most notably. How do you answer this problem? This is not theory, this is what happened when countries decided to use renewable energy.
Politics. Germany was supposed to invest into renewables and phase out the old stuff. In a sane way. Then we switched off all the nuclear plants at once (after Fukushima). Obviously this requires buying energy from neighboring countries and ramping up other technology. We subside companies wreacking havoc throughout the Niederrhein for brown coal which isnāt even economical in the first place. Instead of investing that money into our future. We also killed off our domestic solar industry years ago. The war in Ukraine happened. That took us by surprise and we were dependant on Russian natural gas. Iām not an expert on Spain.
Youāre right with your distinction between theory and the real world. What we should do isnāt always what we do (or did). When someone does something stupid, it doesnāt automatically make it right or wrong. But youāre supposed to learn from their mistakes. And factor in everything if you want to talk about what makes sense for the future.
The wikipedia article on renewable energy also has some facts about history and state of the art in green energy, so you can have a look at the world-wide numbers and decide if your perspective is that this is sci-fi or actually out there. I donāt say this is easy or possible without changes to the energy grid, society or whatever. And I donāt argue we need to do 100% solar. Or get rid of all of the batteries in the world. Or do everything with lithium batteries. Or the problems getting from 0-20% are the same as going from 80-100%. Thatās not my argument. My argument is, if itās the cheapest option in the long run. And the way to not further temper with climate. Why not use this? Why not invest in this unless there is a proper argument against it? Weāve already begun, made some mistakes and are getting smarter by the day. Nuclear has so many challenges that are difficult to solve. And looking at the numbers, itās unlikely it will improve so much in its current form that itāll become better than renewable anyways. Iād be happy to reconsider things once sombody gets a nuclear fusion reactor viable for real-world use.
Idk. Solar cells have been around for a while, too. Wind turbines are kind of simple devices. I bet an engineer can predict their maintenance cost and lifespan fairly accurate. Hydroelectric power plants have been around for more than 100 years. Electric cars have been invented before the combustion engine took off. Nuclear power has been around for some time. But you canāt use that as an argument and simultaneously argue about using thorium which large scale deployments are still hypothetical.
And I donāt think those numbers are 500% off. You can double some cost and were only at 200%. And theyāre not complete speculation. They took the actual numbers of the previous year. And the years before that. These numbers are the āactual historyā.
No significant energy production was made with variable renewable
Pardon? Norway? New Zealand? Switzerland? Iceland? Sweden? Countless others I probably forgot because Iām bad at geography? The USA and China, Philippines, Indonesia all have major āvariable renewableā. Thousands and thousands of megawatts of energy are generated this way as of today. Then there is biomass if youāre geologically not that favored by nature, but I barely know anything about that. And who says we canāt use the sun and wind? Of course we can also use those.
Sure. Just use molten salt energy storage, hydroelectric dams or whichever of the dozens of technologies makes most sense where you are.
Combine different kinds of renewables so you get power at night and when the wind isnāt blowing. Build more then enough and if you got excess energy, maybe make some hydrogen.
Have your devices and industry āsmartā so it draws less power when thereās less supply.
You really donāt need to do everything with ānormalā batteries like in a smartphone.
The āworkingā thorium reactors are for research. They donāt generate energy. At least if weāre speaking about generating energy for a whole country. The planned thorium reactors of the next many years also donāt generate any significant amount of energy. With that argumentation we also (almost) have nuclear fusion power plants.
A thorium power plant that contributes to the power grid and shows up in the numbers is sci-fi. I mean, itās not impossible. Itās just lots of very expensive work left to do.
At one point in the future Iām sure we can look back, do the calculations and see if that had been a good bridge or an expensive thing for the taxpayer to deal with the dismantling and long time storage.
As of now I think the time of that bridge technology has come to an end anyways. We now have efficient renewable energies available. And concepts for energy storage. I think we should invest in that instead of putting the money into a thing of the past.
Damn. I shouldnāt have linked auch a long PDF. What are you talking about? Iām referring to the diagram (and text) on page 293. The annual Levelized Cost Of Energy.
Itās not only calculated on sunny days. They take the annual energy output for the calculation. Availability and everything included or these numbers wouldnāt make any sense.
And yes, we need batteries. But the nuclear plants also need other (faster) plants alongside. And this match isnāt a close call. With a 5 fold increase in being economical, we have plenty of money to spare to afford some batteries and hydroelectric dams.
Sure it is. The World nuclear status report 2021 for example says itās five times more expensive than wind energy.
And sure there are other fuels for nuclear. But I think most of them are even more limited?!
cost per unit
Weāre talking about effective cost of the resulting power, altogether. All things included. (Except for nuclear waste, which is a topic for a different discussion and difficult to quantify.) Just comparing one aspect wouldnāt be fair.
store energy on scale
Yeah, and science and investors are way ahead of politics. There are several concepts already available or already in place somewhere. Several promising ideas and projects that need funding. Storage facilities that arenāt able to store energy because Bavaria is not willing to run cables across the country. It is a complex topic that also needs individual solutions. For example depending on geography you could have dams and pump water. Or one of the concepts that work everywhere. Infrastructure and cunsumer get more advanced/intelligent. You could charge your car automatically during periods where renewable is abundant. You can fine-tune factories, maybe have the large heat pump of an office building vary temperature a bit when there is a Dunkelflaute. Some countries just get geothermal power for free because of their location⦠You can put those storage facilities close to energy generation or close to the consumer. And as supply and demand changes prices, itās also well aligned with the way our economy (and capitalism) works.
We should really hurry up and put in the effort this needs. Because we really need those storage facilities. And Iād like energy costs to come down again, and CO2 emissions also.
And if I remember correctly, the current natural gas power plants are the ones that can react to supply and demand the most quickly. But this seems not to be a good idea anymore, now that we have enough problems with the natural gas in central europe. I (personally) would be happy if there was an alternative.
I havenāt heard any scientist in the last years tell something different from renewable plus storage is the way. Not unless some miracle happens and we get fusion reactors or something. But itās still unclear it thatās going to happen.
I use headphones every night to listen to audiobooks or YouTube videos until I fall asleep.